The best bets on the ATP Vienna, including Khachanov vs. Berrettini

ATP 500 Vienna quarterfinals

Machac – Draper: 10/25/2024 2:00 p.m. CEST
H2H: 3-1

Tomas Machac has won three of his last five games. Last week in Almaty, Machac was eliminated midway through the round of 16 against Zhukayev. Here in Vienna, Tomas looked completely fit on the pitch. He won his opening match against Marozsan in straight sets. Machac served great and offered no break points. After winning the first set 7-6, Tomas raised his level and defeated Marozsan in the second set. In the round of 16, Machac won against Dimitrov as predicted. Last year in Vienna, Machac reached the second round as a qualifier, where he lost to Tsitsipas.

Jack Draper has won four of his last five games. The last game Draper played before Vienna was in Tokyo, where he reached the quarterfinals and was eliminated mid-match by Humbert. Draper then withdrew from the Shanghai Masters due to an abdominal injury. Here in Vienna, as predicted, Draper won his opening match against Nishikori in tight sets. In the round of 16, Jack defeated Darderi in straight sets, as predicted. This time last year, Draper was spending some time playing at the Challenger Tour level.

The best bet

According to the bookmakers, Draper is the slight favorite in this duel, and we can’t agree more. Machac plays great tennis, so we believe he will go into this match with full confidence. Draper has had a favorable draw so far, but we haven’t seen him against a top-30 player yet. We believe Machac is in better form at the moment and will have the upper hand in this game.

Apart from that, Machac’s win is a value bet.

Value Bet/best odds: Tomas Machac wins @2.20 @bet365

Berrettini – Khachanov: October 25, 2024 6:00 p.m. CEST
H2H: 4-1

Matteo Berrettini has won three of his last five games. Last week in Stockholm, Matteo reached the round of 16, where he was defeated by Stricker in straight sets. Here in Vienna, Matteo won his opening match against Fucsovics in straight sets. In the round of 16, Matteo defeated Tiafoe in three sets, as predicted. He achieved his greatest successes on clay courts. But Matteo also enjoys playing on fast indoor courts like this one. This time last year, Berrettini was injured and missed the second half of the season.

Karen Khachanov has won six games in a row. Last week in Almaty, Khachanov won the title by beating Diallo in the final, as predicted. It was the Russian’s second title of the season. Here in Vienna, Khachanov confidently won his opening match in straight sets against Seyboth Wild. In the round of 16, Khachanov won, as predicted, in three tight sets against Nakashima. Last year in Vienna, Khachanov reached the quarterfinals, where he lost to Medvedev in three close sets.

The best bet

According to the bookmakers, Matteo is the slight favorite in this match and we agree. Berrettini played better than Khachanov this week and faced tougher opponents en route to the quarterfinals. We believe Berrettini will be a better player on the pitch today and win this game.

Apart from that, Berrettini’s win is a value bet.

Value Bet/best odds: Matteo Berrettini wins @1.67 @bet365

Main photo credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports