ATP Basel best bets including Goffin vs. Rune

ATP 500 Basel quarterfinals

Goffin – Rune: 10/25/2024 6:00 p.m. CEST
H2H: first meeting

David Goffin has won three of his last five games. Two weeks ago, Goffin reached the quarterfinals in Shanghai, where he lost in straight sets to Fritz. Here in Basel, David didn’t manage to qualify for the main round tournament, but started as a lucky loser. In his first main round, Goffin defeated Arnaldi in three close sets. David then defeated Humbert again in the round of 16 in three close sets.

Holger Rune has lost three of his last five games. Last week, Rune played an exhibition tournament in Saudi Arabia where he lost to Alcaraz in straight sets. Rune is aiming for a solid result this week to get closer to the top 10 in the rankings. Here in Basel, Rune defeated Jarry in straight sets in his opening round, as we predicted. Holger served great and offered no break points. Rune then won in straight sets against Stricker in the round of 16. Last year in Basel, Rune reached the semi-finals, where he lost in straight sets to Auger-Aliassime.

The best bet

According to the bookmakers, Rune is the favorite in this game and we agree. Goffin spent a lot of time on the court this week. On the other hand, Rune won both matches in straight sets and played great tennis. We believe Holger will continue like this and win in straight sets again.

Apart from that, Rune winning in straight sets is a value bet.

Value Bet/the best odds: Holger Rune wins 2:0 @1.91 @bet365

Mpetshi Perricard – Shapovalov: 10/25/2024 7:30 p.m. CEST
H2H: first meeting

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has lost three of his last five games. Last week in Antwerp, Giovanni lost his opening match against Seyboth Wild in straight sets. Here in Basel, Giovanni won his opening match against Duckworth in straight sets. Mpetshi then also defeated Auger-Aliassime in straight sets in the round of 16.

Denis Shapovalov has won four of his last five games. Two weeks ago in Shanghai, Denis lost his second-round match against Shelton in straight sets. Here in Basel, Denis won his opening match against Shang in straight sets. The Canadian served great throughout the match, bidding and saving only one break point. In the round of 16, as predicted, Shapovalov won in straight sets against Bautista-Agut. Denis is aiming for a solid result this week to cement his top 100 status. In his comeback season, Shapovalov only managed one quarterfinal result.

The best bet

According to bookmakers, Shapovalov is the slight favorite in this duel. Giovanni loves playing on the indoor courts and has a strong serve. We believe he will perform well again and keep the game exciting.

Apart from that, Giovanni covering the game’s handicap is a value bet.

Value Bet/best odds: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard +1.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365

Main photo credit: Andy Abeyta/The Desert Sun / USA TODAY NETWORK

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