2024 US Election Results Prediction: US Election Results: The last poll before November 5th is not encouraging for Kamala Harris compared to Donald Trump. Check here

Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are in a dead heat, 48 percent to 48 percent, in the popular vote, the final national poll by The New York Times and Siena College has found, as the vice president battles to gain a lead over the former president with an electorate that says according to a NYT News Service report, seems impossible and unshakably divided.

The poll results for the 2024 US election, which will be announced less than two weeks before election day and millions of Americans have already voted, are not encouraging for Harris. In recent elections, Democrats had a lead in the popular vote, even though they lost the Electoral College and therefore the White House. They were hoping that Harris could build a strong national lead as a sign that she would do well in such critical swing states as Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Harris and Trump remain effectively neck-and-neck even after three of the most turbulent months in recent American political history. A high-profile debate, two assassination attempts on Trump, dozens of rallies in seven battleground states and hundreds of millions in advertising spending appear to have done little to change the course of the race.

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If anything, Harris’ standing among likely voters may have declined since the last Times/Siena College poll conducted earlier this month. At that time she had a slight lead over Trump at 49 percent to 46 percent. The change is within the margin of error, but the Times’ national polling average has also seen a decline in polls in recent weeks, suggesting at least that this contest has become even closer.

Although this latest Times/Siena College poll offers a glimpse into the national mood, the presidential election will be decided in the seven battleground states where Harris and Trump have spent the vast majority of their time and resources. Most polls in these states — Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin — suggest the contest is equally close. There are glimmers of hope for both Trump and Harris in this latest national poll. For Trump, it’s immigration: Fifteen percent of respondents named immigration as their most important issue, up from 12 percent. Trump has criticized Harris over the Biden administration’s record on the issue – he has vowed to carry out “the largest deportation in American history” – as a closing message in his campaign speeches and ads. By an 11-point margin, voters said they trust Trump more than Harris to handle immigration.

And voters remain pessimistic about the country’s development, a measure that has historically been a danger signal for the ruling party. Only 28 percent of respondents said the country is on the right track. Trump has repeatedly painted a bleak picture of the nation under President Joe Biden and Harris.

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The percentage of Americans who said Trump, 78, was too old to be president remained at 41 percent, essentially unchanged from July, even after a series of rambling campaign speeches and appearances led to a barrage of questions , including direct criticism from Harris. about the former president’s mental capacity and fitness.

The poll contained some encouraging signs for Harris. She has narrowed the gap with Trump on the economy, which remains the top issue for voters. In last month’s poll, Trump had a 13-point lead over Harris on the question of which candidate could better manage the economy. That has shrunk to 6 points.

Harris also has a 16-point lead over Trump on the question of which candidate would do better on protecting access to abortion, a key issue in her campaign as she seeks to win support among female voters.

And Harris still has room to grow. About 15 percent of voters described themselves as not fully decided, and Harris leads that group, 42 percent to 32 percent. Two weeks ago, Trump had a tiny lead of 36 percent to 35 percent among undecided or persuaded voters.

The poll found that the 9 percent of Americans who said they had already voted leaned heavily toward Harris, 59 percent to 40 percent. This is consistent with the advantage Democrats have had in early voting and mail-in voting in the past, although this year there are signs that Republicans are casting unusually high numbers of early ballots, unlike in 2020.

This latest poll, like most Times/Siena polls in the last three months, is evidence of an electorate that is both polarized and frozen. There has been little change on some key questions used to measure voter sentiment.

Harris was viewed favorably by 46 percent of voters after Biden dropped out; It is viewed positively by 48 percent in this latest survey. Trump was viewed positively by 47 percent of respondents after Biden dropped out; It is now viewed positively by 48 percent of those surveyed.

The gender gap is as wide as ever. Among women, Harris leads Trump 54 percent to 42 percent; among men, Trump leads Harris 55 percent to 41 percent. There was essentially no change in these numbers over the course of this short contest.

FAQs

Q1. When is election day for the 2024 US election?
A1. Election day for the 2024 US election is November 5th.

Q2. Who will run in the 2024 US election?
A2. Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are running in the 2024 US election.