AP Decision Notes: What to Expect in New York on Election Day

WASHINGTON— New York is a Democratic-leaning state, but is still a top priority for Republicans on Election Day.

A half-dozen U.S. House races in New York are hotly contested, making the state a key state in the race for control of the House.

Democrats hope to flip two districts on Long Island: the 1st District in Suffolk County and the 4th District in Nassau County. In the 1st District, Republican Rep. Nick LaLota faces a challenge from Democrat John Avlon. In the 4th District, Republican Anthony D’Esposito faces a rematch against 2022 Democratic candidate Laura Gillen.

Another three Republican freshmen face contests further north: Reps. Mike Lawler, Marc Molinaro and Brandon Williams. The three congressmen and D’Esposito represent districts that President Joe Biden carried in the 2020 election, making them top priorities for Democrats. Across the aisle, Democratic Rep. Pat Ryan is also competing.

Former Republican President Donald Trump and Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris are competing for New York’s 28 electoral votes. The state has not elected a Republican presidential candidate since Ronald Reagan in the 1980s. Democratic Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand is also on the ballot and is seeking a third full term.

Democrats have a lopsided advantage in the state Legislature, but a net loss of a few seats in either chamber could cost them their supermajority. All seats in the Senate and State Assembly are up for election in November.

Voters will also decide on a ballot measure called the Equal Rights Amendment, which is widely supported by Democrats and abortion rights advocates. While the proposal does not specifically mention abortion, it would ban discrimination based on “pregnancy, pregnancy outcome, and reproductive health care and autonomy.” New York is one of 10 states where voters will decide abortion-related ballot questions on November 5th.

Here’s a look at what to expect in the 2024 election in New York:

November 5th.

9pm ET.

28 were awarded to the statewide winner.

President: Harris (D) vs. Trump (R).

US Senate: Gillibrand (D) vs. Michael Sapraicone (R) and another.

4th Congressional District: D’Esposito (R) vs. Laura Gillen (D).

17th Congressional District: Lawler (R) v. Mondaire Jones (D) and another.

18th Congressional District: Ryan (D) vs. Alison Esposito (R).

Voting measure: Constitutional Amendment 1 (Equal Protection of the Law).

Ballot measures in the U.S. House of Representatives, State Senate, State Assembly, State Supreme Court and New York City.

2020: Biden (D) 61%, Trump (R) 38%, AP Race Call: Tuesday, November 3, 2020, 9 p.m. ET.

Registered voters: 13,108,347 (as of February 27, 2024). About 49% Democrats, about 22% Republicans, about 24% Independents.

Voter turnout in the 2020 presidential election: 64% of registered voters.

Votes cast before Election Day 2020: approximately 51% of the total votes.

Votes cast before Election Day 2022: approximately 26% of the total votes.

Votes cast before Election Day 2024: See AP Advance Vote Tracker.

First votes reported, November 3, 2020: 9:28 p.m. ET.

As of midnight ET: About 63% of all votes cast have been reported.

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AP writers Hannah Fingerhut and Maya Sweedler contributed to this report.

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