AP Decision Note: What to expect on Election Day in Oklahoma

WASHINGTON— Former President Donald Trump is looking to continue his winning streak in Oklahoma as he competes with Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris for the state’s seven electoral votes. Oklahoma voters will also decide races for Congress and the state Legislature and consider an attempt to amend the state constitution to ban non-citizens from voting.

Oklahoma is one of the most reliably Republican states in the country. The Republican presidential candidate has received at least 65% of the vote there in the last five elections. The state gave Trump his third-best margin of victory in 2016 and his fourth-best in 2020. Trump’s 36-point margin of victory over Hillary Clinton in 2016 was the largest victory by a Republican presidential candidate in Oklahoma since Ronald Reagan defeated Walter Mondale by 38 points in 1984.

Oklahomans have not supported a Democratic presidential candidate since President Lyndon Johnson ran 60 years ago. Not only have Democrats been denied a national victory in a presidential election in recent memory, but no Democratic candidate for the White House has won a single district in Oklahoma since 2000, when Al Gore won nine of 77 counties.

Aside from the presidential election, Oklahoma’s most important election campaign is a ballot measure called State Question 833, which would change the state’s constitution to allow only U.S. citizens to vote there. Eight states will put the question of banning non-citizens from voting before voters in November. Non-citizens are already prohibited from voting in federal elections, and no state allows them to vote in state elections. According to the Bipartisan Policy Center, Washington, D.C. and a handful of municipalities in three states allow non-citizens to vote in local elections. Non-citizen voting is an increasingly popular topic for Republican messaging at the federal and state levels. In July, the GOP-controlled U.S. House of Representatives passed a measure requiring proof of citizenship for voter registration.

In the US House of Representatives, the state’s five Republican incumbents are all seeking re-election in safe districts.

In the state legislature, Republicans have lopsided supermajorities in both chambers, which are unlikely to be threatened in the November elections. Half of the 48 seats in the Oklahoma Senate and all 101 seats in the state’s House of Representatives are up for election.

The AP does not make predictions and will only name a winner after determining that there is no scenario that would allow the final candidates to close the gap. If a race has not been called, the AP will continue to report any newsworthy developments, such as: B. Concessions by the candidates or declarations of victory. In doing so, the AP will make it clear that it has not yet declared a winner and explain why.

Here’s a look at what to expect in the 2024 election in Oklahoma:

November 5th.

8pm ET.

7 awarded to nationwide winners.

President: Harris (D) vs. Trump (R) vs. Chase Oliver (Libertarian) vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Independent) and another.

Ballot measure: State Question 834 (citizenship required to vote).

U.S. House of Representatives, State Senate, State House, Corporation Commissioner and another ballot measure.

2020: Trump (R) 65%, Biden (D) 32%, AP Race Call: Tuesday, November 3, 2020, 8 p.m. ET.

Registered voters: 2,413,155 (as of Oct. 1, 2024). About 27% Democrats, 52% Republicans and 20% Independents.

Voter turnout in the 2020 presidential election: 69% of registered voters.

Votes cast before Election Day 2020: approximately 29% of the total votes.

Votes cast before Election Day 2022: approximately 18% of the total votes.

Votes cast before Election Day 2024: See AP Advance Vote Tracker.

First votes reported, November 3, 2020: 8:19 p.m. ET.

By midnight ET: About 98% of all votes cast have been reported.

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AP writer Maya Sweedler contributed to this report.

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