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topicnews · July 18, 2025

MLB picks, baseball best bets for Friday: Phillies' Jesús Luzardo at the Byron Buxton remains hot

MLB picks, baseball best bets for Friday: Phillies' Jesús Luzardo at the Byron Buxton remains hot


The regular MLB season has four days off and although we saw an incredible all-star celebration, it is time to go back to work. Most teams played almost 100 games, so it seems a little inaccurate to call it “second half”, but that's how we do things. It is time for the “second half”.

Let's start with a few victories.

The chances today are about Draftkings.

Jesús Luzardo over 6.5 k (-130)

Luzardo, a south paw, has triggered 122 batteries in 104 ⅓ Innings with the Phillies this season. He has come on seven strikes nine times, including three of his last four excursions. The Phillies organize the Angels on Friday, and that means that Luzardo is faced with the team with the highest strike rate at Baseball against left -handed people with 28.2%. The angels did not see him this season either, so I love the relative unknown.

Byron Buxton over 2.5 total bases (+100)

Buxton ended the first half with a flood, which in his last six games 12 for 22 with three doubles, a triple and two homers, well for a crazy slash line of 0.545/.583/1.045. In the All-Star game he had a ninth inn, RBI Double to bring the AL in a run before scored the game with the game to force the downturn.

Buxton is now entering the second half in Colorado's Coors Field. He faces the left Kyle Freeland. Buxton met .321/.391/.696 against left -handers this season. The starter of Rockies, Kyle Freeland, has a 6.69 ERA at home and enables right -handed people to meet .327/.364/.476.

If you wonder if these two have already started, yes, yes, Buxton beat a Homerun from Freeland in 2017 – together with a SAC colorful.

The latter does not matter because it was about how long it was, but it doesn't hurt to see. A terrible things vote for a big Buxton game, so I will take the two total base. Hopefully Homer he in his first bat to earn our tickets.

The Linfty-swinging O'Hearn is fresh from its first all-star game and can play in Tampa with the short veranda of the right field and the hits in excellent (hot/moist) hitter weather. On the hill for the Rays there is Taj Bradley, who was lit at home throughout the season and has a 5.55 -era. He gave up eight Homer in nine house starts. In addition, the Orioles created him on June 18 and 29. O'Hearn is 5 for 12 with two doubles and a Homerun against Bradley in his career.

Here too, many things are aimed at up here.

Futures Play: Nick Kurtz to win Al Rookie of the Year (+350)

It feels like a good time to jump on Kurtz. He has a big power boost, as mentioned in Power rankings.

Kurtz entered the break with 17 Homern and 44 RBI with a slugging percentage of 0.558 and 143 Ops+. He only met a Homerun on May 13th. He only met his second on May 20. From May 20, Kurtz has in his last 35 games with seven doubles, 16 Homern and 38 RBI. Talk about finding out the big leagues, right?

Teammate and all-star starter Jacob Wilson are currently with 2.2 war .329/.373/.459 (131 ops+). A large part of his game is striven for by his average stroke, but it was once as high as 0.372 (June 8). He met in his last 20 games .192.

Things are really trendy here.